The 2017 Winston Cup Series: Rowdy gets redemption

Kyle Busch takes a bow after winning the Overton's 400 at Pocono, his first win since July 2016. Busch led 74 of 160 laps

     Kyle Busch finally pulled through today, and got his first win of 2017. His car was near the front, or leading all day long at Pocono. In the closing stages, strategy was easily the winning move of the race for Busch; pitting late gave him the best tires on the track. While I'm not a Kyle Busch fan, it's good to see him get a win, it's been awhile, and he won it fair and square. After coming far too close at Phoenix, Talladega, Martinsville, Charlotte, Pocono in June, last week at Indianapolis (the list goes on), Busch deserved a victory this year. He punctuated it by bumping Kevin Harvick out of the way to grab the lead, and drive to a six-second margin of victory, the largest for a race this season.

Cars pile up trying to avoid a spinning Matt Kenseth, on lap 1 of the Overton's 400. Aric Almirola and Matt Dibenedetto wrecked out in the only true dust-up of the race

     Aside from a small pileup on the first lap, the Overton's 400 ended up being a fairly clean race. I was very impressed watching the final stage run caution-free, it was nice to see strategy decide the race, and not a late restart. Notably, rookie Daniel Suarez had another 7th place finish, his third straight top-10... Dale Earnhardt Jr. fared well in his final Pocono race, coming home in 12th... Several front-runners ran into trouble: Jimmie Johnson's crash left him in 35th, his third DNF in four races... A broken drive shaft forced Kyle Larson to the garage for repairs, he finished 33rd... Ryan Blaney had tire problems, finishing 30th... two pit road penalties for Joey Logano dropped him to 27th, and Jamie McMurray finished 26th.

     In the classic standings, Kyle Busch's win at Pocono moves him up to third place, ahead of Kyle Larson, who took a big hit this week. With my scoring, Harvick and Truex Jr. both got 39 points for finishing 2nd and 3rd, since Harvick didn't get an extra point for leading a lap. Therefore, the gap between the two remains at six points. The big mover was Suarez, who cracked into the top-10 this week. Jimmie Johnson took a big hit, dropping four spots to 14th in the classic points (Remember that if he wins an eighth title this year).
     Next week we head to Watkins Glen, a track that could play into Busch's favor again. Among active NASCAR drivers, only five have won at the Glen, and Busch is the only one who's won there twice, in 2008 and 2013. And it only gets better for "Rowdy." In 12 starts, Kyle Busch has 10 top-10's at the road course. Qualifying will be key though; no driver has ever won Watkins Glen with a lower starting spot than 18th, when Steve Park did it in 2000. Stay tuned!

Kyle Busch celebrates in victory lane at Pocono

The 2017 Winston Cup Series: Indy proves unpredictable

Kyle Busch leads Martin Truex Jr. in the Brickyard 400. The two dominated until crashing out of the race together on lap 111

     With all the talk of how boring the Brickyard 400 has become to watch, this year's edition was pretty wild. Kyle Busch dominated and looked unstoppable, until the last thing I expected, him and Martin Truex Jr. crashed while battling for the lead. As much as I don't like Kyle Busch, I legitimately felt bad to see him robbed of a win like that. The best two cars in the field were suddenly gone... What followed was a battle of everyone else, a series of crashes, and a surprise win for Kasey Kahne. It's his first trip to victory lane since 2014, and his first win at Indianapolis.

Kasey Kahne led 12 laps at Indianapolis en route to his first Brickyard 400. It's his first win since August 2014, and only his 4th top-10 this year

     Several other front-runners did not finish the race. While Chase Elliott had an engine failure early on, Earnhardt Jr's bad luck continued, blowing a radiator when he plowed into a car in turn two. Kurt Busch, and Clint Bowyer had their cars destroyed in a spectacular crash, and Jimmie Johnson, Kyle Larson, and Ricky Stenhouse wrecked out in separate incidents. Only 20 cars were running at the finish, and a few underfunded teams had a surprisingly good finish. Matt Dibenedetto came home in 8th, Cole Whitt finished 12th, and Timmy Hill came in 14th. Jeffrey Earnhardt tied his season best of 26th.
     It was disappointing to see the grandstands at Indianapolis so empty for a NASCAR event. Only an estimated 35,000 fans were in attendance. It will be interesting to see if the Cup series adopts a new rules package, and tries to improve competition. If not for an untimely wreck, Kyle Busch was well on his way to driving away with another race at the Brickyard, and putting the few fans there to sleep...

     The jumbled results played into this week's "classic" points. Kyle Larson gained virtually nothing on Truex Jr., but Harvick gained on both with his sixth place finish. This puts the three of them only seven points apart. Brad Keselowski's good finish helped him jump from ninth in points to sixth. Off to Pocono!

The 2017 Winston Cup Series: Hamlin wins at New Hampshire

Denny Hamlin gets his 30th career at New Hampshire, and his first of 2017. Hamlin becomes the 8th driver to win at least three Cup races at New Hampshire.

     It was another great race for Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Larson, but Denny Hamlin held on during the race's final laps for his 30th career win. Larson seemed to have a real shot at catching Hamlin but couldn't reel him in, and finished runner-up for the second straight week. The Overton's 301 was overall a clean race, aside from a wreck by rookie Erik Jones early on. It also featured a 35-lap green flag run to the finish, something I love to see. 

     Notable finishes include Daniel Suarez, with an impressive 6th place. Kyle Busch had a great car but came in 12th, blowing his chance with two pit road speeding penalties. Earnhardt Jr. led briefly, but was passed by multiple cars with fresh tires and ended up 18th. Dale Jr.'s nephew, Jeffrey Earnhardt finished four laps down in 33rd. Joey Logano suffered mechanical problems and finished 37th, the only driver doing well in points to have a bad day. 

Hamlin leads the closing laps of the Overton's 301, in front of Kyle Larson.

     It's a real shame that New Hampshire is about to lose one of its two race dates on the schedule. The Cup cars have been making two trips there since 1997. New Hampshire doesn't have the most action-packed races, but the flatter turns give the track a different feel than everywhere else. It's almost like a big short track. There's been some great races here, and it'll be a shame to only see it once a year. But the decision is obviously based on money.

     Here's a look at the standings after New Hampshire. The big loser this week was Kyle Larson, taking a 35-point hit in the standings for a penalty after the Kentucky race. This is where points get a little tricky... In a setting where drivers can reach as many as 60 points per race, as opposed to 45, a 35-point penalty isn't as debilitating. I have a feeling NASCAR wouldn't have given Larson a 35-point penalty under the "classic" point system, more likely it would've been 25. For now I'm counting it here as 35, we'll see later on if those 10 points make a difference. Either way, it cost Larson the point lead to Martin Truex Jr. Harvick, Kyle Busch, and Hamlin round out the top five.

     Now it's on to Indianapolis next week! Jimmie Johnson has four wins at Indy, only one behind the Cup record of five, held by Jeff Gordon. Several veterans have never won the Brickyard 400, including Kenseth, Earnhardt Jr., Kurt Busch, Truex Jr., and Hamlin.

The 2017 Winston Cup Series: Truex Jr. wins at Kentucky

Martin Truex Jr. gets his 10th career win at Kentucky Speedway. Truex Jr. dominated, leading 152 of 274 laps

Martin Truex Jr. continued his stellar season last night with a solid win at Kentucky. It was nearly a heartbreaking finish for him, when the caution came out with two to go, thanks to Kurt Busch’s blown engine... It’s only fitting Truex Jr. held on for the win, after leading the field by over half a lap in the closing stages. Even though Truex was on old tires, he got a good enough jump on the final restart to secure his 10^th career win. The dominant car won the race, something that we don’t always see. Other notable finishes include Darrell Wallace Jr. with an 11^th, Danica Patrick in 15^th, and Jeffrey Earnhardt with a decent finish of 29^th.

Clint Bowyer, Jimmie Johnson, and Brad Keselowski (not visible) bring out the caution on lap 88. The accident takes out Keselowski and Johnson, they finish 39th and 40th

The biggest surprise/disappointment was the accident that took out Brad Keselowski and Jimmie Johnson. Keselowski has dominated at Kentucky, winning three of the six previous races here, only to lose control under Clint Bowyer in turn three. A third of the way into the night, he was done.

This was actually the first time I watched the Kentucky race (it’s a fairly new track on the schedule). Aside from the accidents on restarts, it felt like a pretty clean race… I know it’s another cookie-cutter, but being only 5-6 hours away in Michigan, I’ll have to make my way down there sometime to see it in person. The grandstands look high enough where you’d probably have a great view of the whole track.

Here’s a look at the classic points after Kentucky, the official halfway point of the season. With the win and the most laps led, Truex Jr. gains some points on Larson, but not as much as he does with stage wins (Truex actually got 60 points last night winning all three stages, here I only score him for 45). Chase Elliott’s third place helped him jump four spots to fifth in the classic points… Both Johnson and Keselowski drop substantially because of their crash.

Next week the Cup series heads to Loudon, New Hampshire. A fun fact: Kenseth, Newman, Johnson, and Kurt Busch all have three wins at New Hampshire. Jeff Burton holds the Cup series record with four. Another fun fact, of all active drivers, Dale Jr. holds the title of most starts at New Hampshire without a win, with 33. Let’s see how he does on his 34^th and final visit...

The 2017 Winston Cup Series: Who the "real" champion is

A shot of the "classic" days in the Winston Cup series... Dale Earnhardt, Jeff Gordon, and Bill Elliott make up a few of the legends in this 1998 race

I’m a NASCAR fan, an old school one too. Not old as in ancient, but old as in knowing the sport used to be better. Not just the drivers, but the common features that have fallen by the wayside. It’s kind of like enjoying hockey fights, or knowing the value of a major in golf (and not the Fedex Cup). “Because we’ve always done it that way” doesn’t work well in modern day politics, but to me it’s always made sense in sports.

                I became a NASCAR fan in 2001, back when it was still the “Winston Cup Series.” Since the addition of “The Chase”, essentially playoffs for NASCAR, things have gone downhill. No racing back to the line… Green-white-checkered finishes… The overtime line... Stage racing… The list goes on.

Me in front of the turn three stands at Michigan International Speedway in 2004. The stands have since been torn down, partly due to falling attendance.

But my main beef is using the Chase, and nowadays, bracket style elimination, to determine a champion. If you’re unfamiliar, NASCAR used a points system for decades that awarded consistency all season. Unlike ball sports, there was no “playoffs.” Your regular season champion was the “champion.” It meant running well just about every race. NASCAR only tainted their definition of a champion by adding the Chase in 2004. Come September, this made it possible for any driver in the top 10, 12, or now 16 in points, to have a shot at the championship.

Jimmie Johnson ended up winning five straight titles under the Chase format between 2006 and 2010. Under the old rules, he would have only won two of them. If the “classic” rules had been in place all this time, Jeff Gordon would have won seven championships, tying him with legends Richard Petty and Dale Earnhardt. Fast forward to 2017, his former teammate Jimmie Johnson holds that honor (under the old points system, it would be the other way around).

It’s 2017. Plenty of people are chanting that Donald Trump is “not my president.” So it’s only fair that I can say “not my champion.” Kyle Busch for example, broke his leg a day before the 2015 daytona 500, and missed about half the season. With a win at Sonoma (Sears Point) he qualified for the chase, then captured the title by winning at Homestead. Under the classic system, he would’ve come in 20^th for the year. Not my champion!

                I decided to take it upon myself and keep track this year, the OLD way. The Winston Cup way. Online, Jayski had been doing this for years on its “Chaseology” page, race by race, updating what the classic points standings would look like, as opposed to the Chase standings/grid. So far Jayski hasn’t done this for 2017, so I decided to go for it.

                My logic follows the 2016 standings structure, with a full 40-car field, 1^st place gets 40 points, last place gets 1 point. Winning gets you three extra points, leading a lap gets you an extra point, and leading the most laps gets you two points. Obviously, with this year’s fields of 37-38 cars on occasion, last place doesn’t always get only one point (One difference is that the 2017 points system only awards one point to anyone 36^th or worse). Stage points and playoff points don’t count. Also, this doesn’t use the “classic” point structure used from 1975 to 2003, I may get to that in the future. But regardless, we’re measuring consistency. Plus, point scoring from 45 to 1, rather than 185 to 34, is a lot easier to understand and calculate. I do factor in Joey Logano’s “encumbered” win at Richmond, where he was docked 25 points.

Here’s a look at the official 2017 standings, after the Coke Zero 400 at Daytona. After about half the season, Kyle Larson and Martin Truex Jr. are dominating the field so far. (Click on the image for a closer look)

Official Cup standings from nascar.com

Now let’s take these standings, and switch to the “classic” point structure. 

"Classic" Cup standings so far

     Gone are Truex Jr’s 11 stage wins, and the gap between the top 5 drivers is considerably smaller. Also notable, is that without the Chase grid, winning a race doesn’t guarantee a shot at the championship. Therefore a driver like Austin Dillon has no shot at the title, despite his win in the Coke 600.

     Some of the results aren’t a surprise. Dale Earnhardt Jr’s poor showing this season has him in 24^th place. Danica’s awful luck (and occasional bad driving) puts her in 30^th overall. Jeffrey Earnhardt comes in a lowly 37^th place, essentially last among drivers who have completed most, or all of the schedule so far.

     It also brings surprises, especially seeing Eric Jones and Ryan Blaney in 18^th and 19^th. Both young drivers have run great all season, but compared to fellow young gun Chase Elliot (9^th) haven’t put up the best finishes. It also shows that some drivers are better than most would give credit for. Based on watching this year’s NASCAR coverage, who would’ve thought Daniel Suarez would be 14^th?

Kyle Larson salutes the fans at Michigan, after winning the June race last month. I watched from turn one

     One thing is clear, Kyle Larson and Martin Truex Jr. are dominating. These two drivers are good week in, and week out. How the rest of the season plays out remains to be seen. Stay tuned.